Yiwei Bao

Back to portfolio

Market Intelligence

AI Search Trends and Market Interest Analysis

Use Google Trends to compare ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and Perplexity, then analyze how market attention shifts across AI tools.

Tools Compared

4 AI products

Primary Source

Google Trends

Core Output

Market interest case study

Problem Statement

When AI products evolve quickly, teams often struggle to tell which tools are gaining attention and which have entered a more stable platform competition phase.

Key Finding

Search interest does not move up together. It splits across launches, regions, and use cases, which turns “who is hottest” into a time- and market-specific question.

Project Framing

This project treats AI search interest as a market signal. The goal is not just to decide who is hottest, but to see how attention shifts between tools.

Compared with a standard static dataset project, this feels closer to real market intelligence because the data changes over time and conclusions depend on clear time windows and scope.

Business Questions

Which AI tools are gaining stable market attention, and which only spike after specific events?

If a team wants to decide where to focus content, partnership research, or competitive monitoring, can search interest act as an early signal?

Analytical Plan

The first step is to compare overall trend movement for ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and Perplexity, then break the view down by geography, timing, and related topics.

The second step is to connect attention shifts to product launches and announcements, so the final output reads like business interpretation rather than only a line chart.

Execution Roadmap

The GitHub version will include raw exports, cleaned analysis tables, reproducible chart scripts, and a README that recruiters can scan quickly.

The portfolio page will present a distilled business problem, method, findings, and recommendations, while the repository shows the process in detail.

Portfolio Value

This project shows sensitivity to new products and digital markets, and it works well in interviews when discussing how an open data source can become practical insight.

It can also naturally extend into a dashboard, time-series study, content strategy project, or SEO-style market tracker.

Case Study

A fuller project breakdown for portfolio and interview storytelling.

Dataset

  • Google Trends search-interest data comparing ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and Perplexity.
  • Primary scope: Worldwide, Web Search, with both a 12-month view for longer-term movement and a 90-day view for more detailed short-term signals.
  • The dataset is relative-index based, which means values show normalized interest rather than absolute search volume.

Methodology

  • Compare normalized search interest across four AI tools over time to identify sustained leaders, volatility, and possible momentum shifts.
  • Break the trend into shorter windows to detect event-driven changes that may be hidden in a longer aggregated view.
  • Supplement the time series with geography and related-query views to distinguish broad market leadership from local spikes or temporary curiosity.

Results

  • The analysis framework is designed to separate long-run platform attention from short-run release-driven spikes.
  • A relative-index view makes it easier to discuss momentum, but it requires caution because a rise for one tool can lower the apparent share of others without meaning their raw demand collapsed.
  • This project is strongest when interpreted as an attention and positioning tracker, not a literal measure of usage or revenue.

Validation and Limitations

  • Google Trends reports relative search interest, not actual user counts, active users, or paid conversions.
  • Different tools may attract different search behavior; stronger brand familiarity can reduce the need to search even when usage is high.
  • Trend shifts should be interpreted alongside product launches, media coverage, and geography, rather than as standalone proof of market share.

Recommendations

  • Use search-interest tracking as an early signal for changes in competitive attention, especially around launches, feature releases, and model announcements.
  • Pair the trend view with related queries to understand whether user attention is driven by curiosity, comparison, practical use cases, or switching behavior.
  • For a company monitoring the AI market, a lightweight monthly trend tracker could support messaging, content priorities, and partnership research.

Future Directions

  • Add an event timeline that maps major product launches and announcements to sharp changes in search interest.
  • Extend the analysis by region to compare whether specific markets over-index for certain tools.
  • Combine trend data with news volume or social signals to build a more complete market-attention dashboard.